Sports Media Watch
  • Games Today
  • Schedules
    • NFL
      • Arizona Cardinals
      • Atlanta Falcons
      • Baltimore Ravens
      • Buffalo Bills
      • Carolina Panthers
      • Chicago Bears
      • Cleveland Browns
      • Cincinnati Bengals
      • Dallas Cowboys
      • Denver Broncos
      • Detroit Lions
      • Green Bay Packers
      • Houston Texans
      • Indianapolis Colts
      • Jacksonville Jaguars
      • Kansas City Chiefs
      • Las Vegas Raiders
      • Los Angeles Chargers
      • Los Angeles Rams
      • Miami Dolphins
      • Minnesota Vikings
      • New England Patriots
      • New Orleans Saints
      • New York Giants
      • New York Jets
      • Philadelphia Eagles
      • Pittsburgh Steelers
      • San Francisco 49ers
      • Seattle Seahawks
      • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
      • Tennessee Titans
      • Washington Commanders
    • NCAA
      • College Football
      • College Volleyball
      • Men’s College Basketball
      • Women’s College Basketball
      • College Softball
      • College Baseball
      • Men’s College Hockey
      • Women’s College Hockey
      • Field Hockey
      • College Gymnastics
      • Men’s College Lacrosse
      • Women’s College Lacrosse
      • College Wrestling
      • Men’s College Soccer
      • Women’s College Soccer
    • NBA
      • NBA Playoffs
      • Atlanta Hawks
      • Boston Celtics
      • Brooklyn Nets
      • Charlotte Hornets
      • Chicago Bulls
      • Cleveland Cavaliers
      • Dallas Mavericks
      • Denver Nuggets
      • Detroit Pistons
      • Golden State Warriors
      • Houston Rockets
      • Indiana Pacers
      • Los Angeles Clippers
      • Los Angeles Lakers
      • Memphis Grizzlies
      • Miami Heat
      • Milwaukee Bucks
      • Minnesota Timberwolves
      • New Orleans Pelicans
      • New York Knicks
      • Oklahoma City Thunder
      • Orlando Magic
      • Philadelphia 76ers
      • Phoenix Suns
      • Portland Trail Blazers
      • Sacramento Kings
      • San Antonio Spurs
      • Toronto Raptors
      • Utah Jazz
      • Washington Wizards
      • NBA G-League
      • FIBA
    • MLB
      • World Baseball Classic
      • Arizona Diamondbacks
      • Athletics
      • Atlanta Braves
      • Baltimore Orioles
      • Boston Red Sox
      • Chicago Cubs
      • Chicago White Sox
      • Cincinnati Reds
      • Cleveland Guardians
      • Colorado Rockies
      • Detroit Tigers
      • Houston Astros
      • Kansas City Royals
      • Los Angeles Angels
      • Los Angeles Dodgers
      • Miami Marlins
      • Milwaukee Brewers
      • Minnesota Twins
      • New York Mets
      • New York Yankees
      • Philadelphia Phillies
      • Pittsburgh Pirates
      • San Diego Padres
      • San Francisco Giants
      • Seattle Mariners
      • St. Louis Cardinals
      • Tampa Bay Rays
      • Texas Rangers
      • Toronto Blue Jays
      • Washington Nationals
    • NHL
      • Stanley Cup Playoffs
      • Anaheim Ducks
      • Boston Bruins
      • Buffalo Sabres
      • Calgary Flames
      • Carolina Hurricanes
      • Chicago Blackhawks
      • Colorado Avalanche
      • Columbus Blue Jackets
      • Dallas Stars
      • Detroit Red Wings
      • Edmonton Oilers
      • Florida Panthers
      • Los Angeles Kings
      • Minnesota Wild
      • Montreal Canadiens
      • Philadelphia Flyers
      • Pittsburgh Penguins
      • Nashville Predators
      • New Jersey Devils
      • New York Islanders
      • New York Rangers
      • Ottawa Senators
      • San Jose Sharks
      • Seattle Kraken
      • St. Louis Blues
      • Tampa Bay Lightning
      • Toronto Maple Leafs
      • Utah Mammoth
      • Vancouver Canucks
      • Vegas Golden Knights
      • Washington Capitals
      • Winnipeg Jets
      • IIHF
    • WNBA
      • Atlanta Dream
      • Chicago Sky
      • Connecticut Sun
      • Dallas Wings
      • Golden State Valkyries
      • Indiana Fever
      • Las Vegas Aces
      • Los Angeles Sparks
      • Minnesota Lynx
      • New York Liberty
      • Phoenix Mercury
      • Seattle Storm
      • Washington Mystics
    • Tennis
      • Australian Open
      • Indian Wells
      • Miami Open
      • French Open
      • Wimbledon
      • US Open
    • Golf
      • PGA Tour
      • LPGA
      • LIV Golf
      • TGL (Golf)
      • The Masters
      • PGA Championship
      • U.S. Open
      • U.S. Women’s Open
      • British Open
      • Ryder Cup
    • Soccer
      • FIFA Club World Cup
      • Concacaf Gold Cup
      • UEFA Women’s Euros
      • Premier League
      • UEFA Champions League
      • MLS
      • NWSL
      • Serie A
      • Bundesliga
      • La Liga
    • Olympic Sports
      • Olympic Games
      • US Olympic Trials
      • Figure skating
      • Elite gymnastics
      • Track & Field
    • Motorsports
      • NASCAR
      • Formula 1
      • IndyCar
      • NHRA
    • Little League
    • The Basketball Tournament
    • Premier Lacrosse League
    • Tour de France
    • CFL
    • Unrivaled (WBB)
    • UFC
    • PWHL
    • UFL
    • PBA Tour
  • Ratings
    • Ratings Tracker
    • Ratings Predictions
    • College Football TV Ratings
  • Features
    • Monday Musings
    • The Needle
    • On the Air
    • SMW Podcast
  • News
    • By sport
      • NFL
      • College football
      • NBA
      • WNBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Soccer
      • Golf
      • Motorsports
      • Horse racing
      • Tennis
      • College basketball
      • Other College Sports
      • Combat sports
      • Olympics
      • Other sports
    • By network
      • RSNs
      • ESPN
      • ABC
      • FOX
      • NBC
      • CBS
      • TNT Sports
      • Amazon
      • Netflix
      • Apple
      • Golf Channel
      • NFL Network
      • MLB Network
      • Nexstar
      • Scripps
      • Univision
    • By topic
      • Rights Deals
      • Broadcasters
  • Contact
No Result
View All Result
Sports Media Watch
Today's Games
  • NBA Schedule
  • MLB Schedule
  • All Schedules
  • Ratings Tracker
  • Ratings News
  • Podcast

Home › Features › Ratings predictions › Weekend ratings predictions.

Weekend ratings predictions.

by Jon Lewis
19 years ago
Share
Share
  • Share on X (Twitter)
  • Share on Bluesky
  • Share on Threads
  • Share via Email
  • Copy Link
0

First, the results of last week’s predictions:

  • ALCS on FOX, Indians/Red Sox Game 6. Prediction: 9.8. Final rating: 6.8. Game 6 of the ALCS pulled in a big Saturday night rating on FOX, though the 6.8 marked a 15% decline from Game 6 of the 2006 NLCS, and the game on the comparable night last year, Game 1 of the World Series.
  • ALCS on FOX, Indians/Red Sox Game 7. Prediction: 12.1. Final rating: 11.7. Red Sox/Indians Game 7 drew the highest rating for a Major League Baseball game since 2005. The game blew away its NFL competition, as the 11.7 rating was 41% higher than the 8.3 for the opposing Sunday Night Football game on NBC.
  • Notre Dame football on NBC, USC/Notre Dame. Prediction: 2.8. Final rating: 1.7. The USC/Notre Dame rivalry draws its lowest rating since at least 1998, and likely its lowest rating ever. Through four games, Notre Dame football on NBC is averaging a 2.0 rating, down 39% from a 3.3 rating through four games in ’06.
  • SEC on CBS, Florida/Kentucky. Prediction: 2.9. Final rating: 3.3. Thanks to several marquee teams, SEC football on CBS is rising in the ratings; the 3.3 for Florida/Kentucky is a 22% increase over the 2.7 for Alabama/Tennessee in ’06. Through six games, SEC on CBS is averaging a 3.3/7 rating, up 10% from a 3.0/7 last year.
  • College football on ABC, regional. Prediction: 3.6. Final rating: 4.1. A 5% increase for college football coverage on ABC in the 3:30 PM timeslot on Saturday.
  • NASCAR on ABC, Subway 500. Prediction: 3.8. Final rating: 3.7. NASCAR on ABC continues to drop. The 3.7 rating for the Subway 500 marks a 10% decline from the 4.1 rating for the same race last year. NASCAR on ABC is averaging a 3.8 final rating through seven races.
  • Saturday Night Football on ABC. Prediction: 2.6. Final rating: 3.0. Through last week, Saturday Night Football is averaging a 3.4 rating, down 29% from a 4.8 rating through the same date last year.
  • Sunday Night Football on NBC, Steelers/Broncos. Prediction: 9.3. Final rating: 8.3. It’s not every day that the NFL gets destroyed in its timeslot by Major League Baseball. Through Week 7, NBC is averaging a 10.1 rating for Sunday Night Football, down 8% from an 11.0 rating at the same point last year.

This week’s predictions:

  • World Series on FOX, Red Sox/Rockies Game 3, 8 PM Saturday — Through two games, the World Series is averaging a 10.8 rating on FOX, up 10% from a 9.8 last year. Look for the lowest rating of the series for Game 3 on Saturday; no World Series game on a Saturday night has drawn a double digit rating since 2004. Prediction: 9.7.
  • World Series on FOX, Red Sox/Rockies Game 4, 8 PM Saturday — Depending on where the series is by Sunday, Game 4 could either draw a big or mediocre rating. Should Boston take a 3-0 lead in the series, Game 4 may be hard pressed to draw a rating higher than 11. However, if the series is a more competitive 2-1, Game 4 could rise as high as a 12. Prediction: 12.2.
  • Saturday Night Football on ABC, Ohio State/Penn State, 8 PM Saturday — The top-ranked team in the nation plays on Saturday night in a battle of big name Big Ten teams. While OSU/Penn St will get blown out by the World Series on FOX, look for the game to draw the second-biggest rating of the year for Saturday Night Football. Prediction: 4.3.
  • College football on ABC, regional, 12 PM Saturday — Colorado/Texas Tech and West Virginia/Rutgers — even though the latter is a battle of Top 25 teams — are not quite the match-ups one puts on the air if one is looking for big ratings, especially in the 12:00 PM timeslot. Prediction: 2.6.
  • College football on ABC, regional, 3:30 PM Saturday — Nebraska and Texas are marquee programs, though neither is in the national championship hunt. Still, the rivalry may be good for some slightly decent number. Meanwhile, Clemson/Maryland and South Florida/Connecticut are not necessarily games that most of America flocks to watch. Prediction: 2.8.
  • SEC on CBS, Georgia/Florida, 3:30 PM Saturday — Georgia and Florida are both in the Top 25, but do not expect their rivalry game to draw the same numbers of previous SEC telecasts on CBS. Prediction: 2.9.
  • NASCAR on ABC, Pep Boys Auto 500, 2 PM Sunday — NASCAR ratings are in a constant decline. It would take quite a performance for the Pep Boys Auto 500 to come anywhere close to the 4.8 rating for the comparable Bass Pro Shops 500 in 2006. Prediction: 3.6.
  • NFL on FOX, Washington/Patriots, 4 PM Sunday — The Celtics, Red Sox and Boston College may all be big news in New England, but none of those teams can come close to the New England Patriots when it comes to attracting a national audience. Look for Washington/Patriots to draw a bigger rating than Game 4 of the World Series. Prediction: 13.3.
Previous Post

World Series ratings.

Next Post

NBA will not sell digital assets.

Jon Lewis

Jon Lewis has been covering the sports media industry on a daily basis since 2006 as the founder and main writer of Sports Media Watch. You can contact him here or on the social media websites X (Twitter) or Bluesky.

Related

Atlanta Braves including Jim Jarvis (74), Mike Yastrzemski (18), Matt Olson (28) and Drake Baldwin (30) stand of the field during a moment of silence for Ted Turner before a baseball game against the Seattle Mariners, Wednesday, May 6, 2026, in Seattle. (AP Photo/Stephen Brashear)

Ted Turner, whose cable business transformed TV sports, dies

by Jon Lewis
40 minutes ago
0

Ted Turner, the media mogul and team owner whose TBS "SuperStation" helped pave the way the era of cable...

The Walt Disney Company

News: Disney, Comcast-Scripps, Peter Schrager and more

by Derek Futterman
10 hours ago
1

Disney has currently not "engaged with" the NFL on early renewal discussions; Comcast and Scripps reach a new carriage...

Carolina Hurricanes' Logan Stankoven (22) controls the puck in front of Philadelphia Flyers' Denver Barkey (52) during the first period of Game 1 of an NHL hockey Stanley Cup second-round playoff series in Raleigh, N.C., Saturday, May 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Karl DeBlaker)

Stanley Cup follows banner first round viewership with strong start to second

by Jon Lewis
11 hours ago
8

The NHL enjoyed a record-setting opening round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, and it does not appear that the...

Boston Celtics' Jayson Tatum (right) and Philadelphia 76ers' Joel Embiid (left) embrace following Philadelphia's victory in Game 7 in a first-round NBA basketball playoffs series, Saturday, May 2, 2026 in Boston. (AP Photo/Jim Davis)

NBA caps strong first round with milestone audience for Derby-fueled Sixers-Celtics

by Jon Lewis
1 day ago
17

The first round of the NBA Playoffs had a strong close, with Sixers-Celtics hitting a milestone leading out of...

Sponsored
YouTube TV
Get $75 off YouTube TV ($15 off for 5 months) when you sign up today. New users only. Cancel Anytime. Terms apply
Sports Ratings Tracker
logoTalladega
Last weekend’s NASCAR Cup Series race from Talladega (Ala.) averaged a 2.1 rating and 3.97 million viewers on FOX, down a tick in ratings and 2% in viewership from last year (2.2, 4.04M). Excluding 2020, when the race was delayed several weeks and then postponed due to rain, Carson Hocevar’s win was the least-watched spring Talladega race since it began airing on FOX in 2001. Read more
logoNBA Playoffs on NBC
Monday’s Pistons-Magic first round NBA playoff Game 4 averaged a combined 5.4 million viewers on NBC across Nielsen and Adobe Analytics, up 155% from a Nielsen-only audience of 2.1 million for a non-exclusive Cavaliers-Heat Game 4 on TNT Sports last year. Read more
logoStanley Cup Update
Coverage of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs was averaging 1.15 million viewers through the first five days, up 76% from last year and the highest average on record at that point of the postseason. This year’s average is up 30% from the previous high of 887,000 in 2012, and up 39% from the previous high during the current media rights deal — 832,000 in 2024.
logoWomen’s National Championship
Last Sunday’s Wisconsin-Ohio State NCAA women’s hockey national title game averaged 39,000 viewers on ESPNU, down 9% from the same matchup last year (43K).
logoNCAA Women’s Tournament
The NCAA women’s basketball tournament was averaging 628,000 viewers through the first two rounds, up 4% from last year (602K) and behind the Caitlin Clark-fueled levels of 2024 as the highest average since 2009. Note that the 4% increase is well within the margin that can be explained entirely by Nielsen’s shift to “Big Data + Panel” methodology. Read more
logoDarlington
Last Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race from Darlington (S.C.) averaged a 1.3 rating and 2.43 million viewers on FS1, up a tick in ratings but down 1% in viewership from Homestead-Miami on the same weekend last year (1.2, 2.46M). Read more
logoParalympics
The NBC family of networks averaged 1.1 million viewers for the recently-concluded Milan-Cortina Winter Paralympics, per a combination of Nielsen and Adobe Analytics — up 24% from the previous edition in Beijing four years ago. That is outside the range that would be explained by Nielsen methodological changes. Read more

Latest Posts

Ted Turner, whose cable business transformed TV sports, dies

News: Disney, Comcast-Scripps, Peter Schrager and more

Stanley Cup follows banner first round viewership with strong start to second

NBA caps strong first round with milestone audience for Derby-fueled Sixers-Celtics

Goodell praises streamers, suggests Netflix “bigger” than some nets

News: Nielsen, Los Angeles Angels, ESPN and more

Sports Media Watch

About • Contact • Report an Error • Privacy

© 2026 Jon Lewis, Sports Media Watch

No Result
View All Result
  • Games Today
  • Schedules
    • NFL
      • Arizona Cardinals
      • Atlanta Falcons
      • Baltimore Ravens
      • Buffalo Bills
      • Carolina Panthers
      • Chicago Bears
      • Cleveland Browns
      • Cincinnati Bengals
      • Dallas Cowboys
      • Denver Broncos
      • Detroit Lions
      • Green Bay Packers
      • Houston Texans
      • Indianapolis Colts
      • Jacksonville Jaguars
      • Kansas City Chiefs
      • Las Vegas Raiders
      • Los Angeles Chargers
      • Los Angeles Rams
      • Miami Dolphins
      • Minnesota Vikings
      • New England Patriots
      • New Orleans Saints
      • New York Giants
      • New York Jets
      • Philadelphia Eagles
      • Pittsburgh Steelers
      • San Francisco 49ers
      • Seattle Seahawks
      • Tampa Bay Buccaneers
      • Tennessee Titans
      • Washington Commanders
    • NCAA
      • College Football
      • College Volleyball
      • Men’s College Basketball
      • Women’s College Basketball
      • College Softball
      • College Baseball
      • Men’s College Hockey
      • Women’s College Hockey
      • Field Hockey
      • College Gymnastics
      • Men’s College Lacrosse
      • Women’s College Lacrosse
      • College Wrestling
      • Men’s College Soccer
      • Women’s College Soccer
    • NBA
      • NBA Playoffs
      • Atlanta Hawks
      • Boston Celtics
      • Brooklyn Nets
      • Charlotte Hornets
      • Chicago Bulls
      • Cleveland Cavaliers
      • Dallas Mavericks
      • Denver Nuggets
      • Detroit Pistons
      • Golden State Warriors
      • Houston Rockets
      • Indiana Pacers
      • Los Angeles Clippers
      • Los Angeles Lakers
      • Memphis Grizzlies
      • Miami Heat
      • Milwaukee Bucks
      • Minnesota Timberwolves
      • New Orleans Pelicans
      • New York Knicks
      • Oklahoma City Thunder
      • Orlando Magic
      • Philadelphia 76ers
      • Phoenix Suns
      • Portland Trail Blazers
      • Sacramento Kings
      • San Antonio Spurs
      • Toronto Raptors
      • Utah Jazz
      • Washington Wizards
      • NBA G-League
      • FIBA
    • MLB
      • World Baseball Classic
      • Arizona Diamondbacks
      • Athletics
      • Atlanta Braves
      • Baltimore Orioles
      • Boston Red Sox
      • Chicago Cubs
      • Chicago White Sox
      • Cincinnati Reds
      • Cleveland Guardians
      • Colorado Rockies
      • Detroit Tigers
      • Houston Astros
      • Kansas City Royals
      • Los Angeles Angels
      • Los Angeles Dodgers
      • Miami Marlins
      • Milwaukee Brewers
      • Minnesota Twins
      • New York Mets
      • New York Yankees
      • Philadelphia Phillies
      • Pittsburgh Pirates
      • San Diego Padres
      • San Francisco Giants
      • Seattle Mariners
      • St. Louis Cardinals
      • Tampa Bay Rays
      • Texas Rangers
      • Toronto Blue Jays
      • Washington Nationals
    • NHL
      • Stanley Cup Playoffs
      • Anaheim Ducks
      • Boston Bruins
      • Buffalo Sabres
      • Calgary Flames
      • Carolina Hurricanes
      • Chicago Blackhawks
      • Colorado Avalanche
      • Columbus Blue Jackets
      • Dallas Stars
      • Detroit Red Wings
      • Edmonton Oilers
      • Florida Panthers
      • Los Angeles Kings
      • Minnesota Wild
      • Montreal Canadiens
      • Philadelphia Flyers
      • Pittsburgh Penguins
      • Nashville Predators
      • New Jersey Devils
      • New York Islanders
      • New York Rangers
      • Ottawa Senators
      • San Jose Sharks
      • Seattle Kraken
      • St. Louis Blues
      • Tampa Bay Lightning
      • Toronto Maple Leafs
      • Utah Mammoth
      • Vancouver Canucks
      • Vegas Golden Knights
      • Washington Capitals
      • Winnipeg Jets
      • IIHF
    • WNBA
      • Atlanta Dream
      • Chicago Sky
      • Connecticut Sun
      • Dallas Wings
      • Golden State Valkyries
      • Indiana Fever
      • Las Vegas Aces
      • Los Angeles Sparks
      • Minnesota Lynx
      • New York Liberty
      • Phoenix Mercury
      • Seattle Storm
      • Washington Mystics
    • Tennis
      • Australian Open
      • Indian Wells
      • Miami Open
      • French Open
      • Wimbledon
      • US Open
    • Golf
      • PGA Tour
      • LPGA
      • LIV Golf
      • TGL (Golf)
      • The Masters
      • PGA Championship
      • U.S. Open
      • U.S. Women’s Open
      • British Open
      • Ryder Cup
    • Soccer
      • FIFA Club World Cup
      • Concacaf Gold Cup
      • UEFA Women’s Euros
      • Premier League
      • UEFA Champions League
      • MLS
      • NWSL
      • Serie A
      • Bundesliga
      • La Liga
    • Olympic Sports
      • Olympic Games
      • US Olympic Trials
      • Figure skating
      • Elite gymnastics
      • Track & Field
    • Motorsports
      • NASCAR
      • Formula 1
      • IndyCar
      • NHRA
    • Little League
    • The Basketball Tournament
    • Premier Lacrosse League
    • Tour de France
    • CFL
    • Unrivaled (WBB)
    • UFC
    • PWHL
    • UFL
    • PBA Tour
  • Ratings
    • Ratings Tracker
    • Ratings Predictions
    • College Football TV Ratings
  • Features
    • Monday Musings
    • The Needle
    • On the Air
    • SMW Podcast
  • News
    • By sport
      • NFL
      • College football
      • NBA
      • WNBA
      • MLB
      • NHL
      • Soccer
      • Golf
      • Motorsports
      • Horse racing
      • Tennis
      • College basketball
      • Other College Sports
      • Combat sports
      • Olympics
      • Other sports
    • By network
      • RSNs
      • ESPN
      • ABC
      • FOX
      • NBC
      • CBS
      • TNT Sports
      • Amazon
      • Netflix
      • Apple
      • Golf Channel
      • NFL Network
      • MLB Network
      • Nexstar
      • Scripps
      • Univision
    • By topic
      • Rights Deals
      • Broadcasters
  • Contact

© 2026 Jon Lewis, Sports Media Watch